????

???? ???? 50% ????

  • ?? 2003? 3? 27? 19? 10?

???? ??? ???
??1?2?3?
2010～2014?11.17%10.37% 9.57%
2015～2019?13.34%11.74% 10.14%
2020～2024?15.51%13.11% 10.71%
2025～2029?17.68%14.48% 11.28%
2030? ??19.85%15.85% 11.85%
????? 60% 50% 40%
?????? ???? ?? ?????.(40? ?? ??)

?? ????? 60% ??? ???? ???? 2010??? 40～50%? ??? ????. ??? 6～9%? ??? ?????? 2010??? ?? ??? 2030? ???? 11.85～19.85%?? ???.

?????? ???? ??? ?? ???? ??? ?? 2047?? ????? ??? ??? ???? ??? ???? ??? ???? ?? ??? ???? ??? ???? ??? 27? ???.

?? ??? ??? ?? ?????????? △?????(?? ?? ?????)? 60%? ???? ????? 19.85%? ??? 1? △????? 50%, ???? 15.85%? 2? △????? 40%, ???? 11.85%? 3?? ????.

??? 1? ?? ????? ??? ? 3?? ?? ?? ???? ???? ??? ?? 2010??? 2030??? 5? ??? ???? ??? ?? ??.

???? 3?? ? ? ??? ?? ???? ??? ??? ????? ??? ? 2?? ?? ??? ??? ???? ?? 2?? ??? ?? ?????? ?? 17% ?? ???? ????? 76% ???? ??.

?????????? ? ????? ????? ???? ??? ?? ???? ?? ???? ??? ??(???? ???)? ?? ???? ????? ???? ????.

???? ??? ?? ? 360??? ???? ???? 400?～450???? ?? ??? 400?? ??? ?? ???? ???? 32?4000?(360??? 9%)? ???? ?? ???? 36?～40?5000?? ??? ?? ??.

?? ???? ? 22???? 37???? ?? ? ??? ???? ???? ????? ??.

???? ???? ??? ?? ??? ????? ???? ??? ?? ????? ??? ????.

?? ???? ??? 98? ??? ?????? ?? ?? ???? ?? ??? 6%? ????? 7?? 7%? ??? ??? 1%???? ?? 2005???? ?????(9%)? ?? ??? ??.

????? songmoon@donga.com

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